Price Trends & Stabilization
Notaries in Paris report a modest recovery, with annual price growth of about +0.4% by May 2025, and forecasts that prices may reach €9,750/m² by July .
MeilleursAgents confirms this estimate with a mid-July average of €9,502/m² in Paris .
Transactions & Activity
After 13 consecutive quarterly price declines, France saw a +0.5% rise in home prices in Q1 2025, signaling market momentum. Annual sales across France rose to ~880,000, reflecting improved market confidence .
In Greater Paris, late-2024 saw stabilization, followed by a +5% y/y increase in sales volumes, with Paris up ~+5% and Île-de-France +11% in early 2025 .
Time to Sale & Negotiation Margins
Average time to close in Paris has shortened—from 76 days in February to approx. 68–80 days by April. Negotiation margins tightened to –3.1%, compared to –3.6% a year earlier .
Arrondissement Snapshot
MeilleursAgents provides arrondissement-level pricing for July 2025:
- 1st arrondissement: ~€12,287/m²
- 5th arrondissement (Latin Quarter): ~€12,089/m²
- 14th arrondissement: ~€9,478/m²
This reflects steady demand in central districts and more affordability in outer arrondissements.
Additional Market Insights
According to APIS / IGEDD, one baseline scenario forecasts sales volume growth of +5–10% and price increases of +2–3% in 2025, driven by demand for smaller apartments and family homes in Greater Paris .
Commercial Investment Snapshot
- BNP Paribas Real Estate reports a European real estate investment recovery of +21% in Q1 2025 versus Q1 2024, with notable traction in French markets .
- In France, commercial real estate investment reached €3.4 bn in Q1 2025 (+67% y/y), with half-year volumes up +30% vs. H1 2024 .
CBRE expects leasing activity in Paris office markets to grow by 5–10% in 2025, despite recent Q2 weakness, while Paris remains a strategic hub for life sciences and data centre investment .
Key Metrics at a Glance
| Metric | Status July 2025 |
|---|---|
| Price in Paris | ≈ €9,500 – 9,750/m² |
| Quarter-over-Quarter Price Trend | +0.1% to +0.5% |
| Transactions in Paris Region | +5–10% y/y growth |
| Average Time to Sale | ~68 – 80 days (faster than before) |
| Negotiation Margin | ~–3.1% (tighter market conditions) |
| Commercial Investment Growth | Retail +14%, Offices +10%, Logistics stable/decline |
What This Means for CAYMA Clients
- Pricing is stable and showing modest recovery—ideal time to act before further appreciation.
- Transaction velocity is increasing, reducing time to close offers.
- Luxury addresses retain strength, especially in central arrondissements with sustained international demand.
- Commercial and investment interest have rebounded sharply—suggesting confidence in urban real estate resiliency.
At CAYMA Real Estate, we support discerning clients through:
- Discretionary sourcing (on- and off-market)
- Arrondissement-specific insight and pricing intelligence
- Coordinated negotiation, legal, and notarial assistance
- Renovation advisory and wealth strategy guidance
Let us prepare a tailored market summary—arrondissement-level, by property type, or financing-scenario-based—as needed.
